HUDSON INSTITUTE
HOW TO DEFEAT RUSSIAN EXPANSIONISM
1
How to Defeat Russian
Expansionism
DR. CAN KASAPOGLU,
Hudson Institute
Below are three lines of effort to shape Western military policy
to achieve a strategic Ukrainian—and thereby Western—
victory against the Russian invasion.
First Line of Effort: Revive the Cold War NATO
concept of Follow-on Forces Attack (FOFA)
and adapt it to the Ukrainian military’s way of
warghting.
FOFA was designed to conventionally strike enemy combat
formations stretching from just behind the frontline troops
to deep into the adversary’s rear. The strategic intent is to
reduce the enemy units into a “manageable ratio” before they
reach the central defensive lines. The FOFA Shopping Cart for
Ukraine includes:
• The US’s MGM-140 Army Tactical Missile Systems
(ATACMS). The ATACMS would bring an unprecedented
improvement to Ukraine’s long-range re capacity, boosting
the 50-miles effective range of HIMARS to 186 miles (some
300 kilometers). Furthermore, its high-precision and advanced
warhead conguration would offer a critical capability to
attack Russian rocket and loitering munitions launchers, large
ammunition depots, and command and control (C2) nodes,
as well as air contingents within the range.
• American Gray Eagle Drones. Manufactured by General
Atomics, the MQ-1C Gray Eagle comes with an advanced
sensors suit and a potent weapons conguration, including
AGM-114 Hellre missiles. Being able to y above the
engagement envelopes of man-portable air defense systems
(MANPADS) and having good airborne endurance (at least 27
hours for the mainstream variant, and up to 40 hours for the
extended-range upgrade), the unmanned system can offer
notable tactical exibility to the Ukrainian Armed Forces.
1
