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2011年5月31日——安全_威慑_玻璃

ID：32481

大小：0.13 MB

页数：8页

时间：2023-01-29

金币：5

上传者：战必胜
Deterrence of Cyber Attacks and U.S. National Security
Charles L. Glaser
Professor of Political Science and International Affairs
Elliot School of International Affairs
The George Washington University
Report GW-CSPRI-2011-5
June 1, 2011
Abstract
This paper draws on deterrence theory to analyze the challenges that the United States
faces in deterring cyber attacks. We begin by briefly reviewing the basic logic of deterrence
theory and relating it to the challenge posed by cyber attacks. The following section explores
what is commonly viewed as the key problem in deterring cyber attacks—the “attribution
problem” arises when a state cannot determine who has attacked it and therefore cannot credibly
threaten to respond. We suggest that this barrier to deterrence has been exaggerated, while
acknowledging that it does create a number of dangers. The following two sections discuss
deterrence of different types of cyber attacks—those designed to damage the U.S. economy and
society, and those designed to weaken U.S. conventional military forces. The final section
highlights a few points, including the need for the United States to design a clear declaratory
policy that explains its cyber deterrence strategy and the importance of integrating deterrence
into a multilayer policy designed to protect the United States from cyber attacks.
Work supported by the Office of the Vice President for Academic Affairs and the
School of Engineering and Applied Science of the George Washington University
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