ADA279968-《世界新秩序的不同场景》

ID:67639

阅读量:1

大小:7.09 MB

页数:144页

时间:2023-08-09

金币:20

上传者:HawKeye
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Alternative
World
Scenarios
for
a
New
Order
of
Nationq
(11)
6.
AUTHOR(S)
-Charles
W.
Tavlor
7.
PERFORMING
ORGANIZATION
NAME(S)
AND
ADORESS(ES)
d
PEFFORMING
ORGANIZATION
R•EPORT
NUMBER
Strategic
Studies
Institute
,US
Army
War
College
Carlisle
Barracks.
PA
17013-5050
A('
Q~nclA
9.
5PONSORING
MIONITORING
AGENCY
NAME(S)
AND
AQL)RESSES!
10.
SF
"NSORING/MONITORING
A6ENCY
REPORT
NUMBER
DTIC
"
ELECTE
12a.
DISTRIBUTION!AVAILABILITY
STATEMENT
.
12b.
D.STRIBUTION
CODE
,Approved
for
public
release;
distribution
lunlimited
13.
ABSTRACT
ý,Vjxmrnum2300woras)
The
author
of
this
futures
work
presents
scenarios
appropriate
for
i
near-
to
long-range
planning
of
the
activities
of
the
Department
of
Defense
and
its
agencies
out
to
the
year
2020
and
beyond.
Addition-
ally,
the
scenarios,
because
of
their
design,
are
useful
to
other
departments
of
the
U.S.
Government,
industry,
business,
and
academia.
Forecasts
developed
for
this
report
use
a
technique
created
by
the
author
for
monitoring
past,
present,
and
future
global
trends
and
events,
which
he
molds
into
plausible
and
thought-provoking
scenarios
!of
the
United
States
in
the
world's
societies
of
tomorrow.
These
;plausible
scenarios
are
provided
so
that
users
can
build
policies
and
imake
decisions
while
anticipating
and
judging
their
consequences
,before
implementation.
14.
SUBJECT
TERMS
15.
NUMBER
OF
PAGES
political,
economic,
social,
technological,
and
milita-y
1;1
environments;
Alternative
World
Scenarios;
active
and
16.
PRICE
CODE
I?.SEURTYCLSSFIATION
lB
SEC
IYCASFATION
1.
S
CURT
CASIFICATION
20.
LIMITATION
OF
ABSTRACT
Unclassified
Unclas-sified
| []nilaQigfid
I1T.
I
" n•ni-290-515on
'i-arnira
Form
z99
Rev
2-89)
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