EM 1110-2-1619 基于风险的洪水减灾研究分析

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DEPARTMENT OF THE ARMY EM 1110-2-1619
U.S. Army Corps of Engineers
CECW-EH-Y Washington, DC 20314-1000
Manual
No. 1110-2-1619 1 August 1996
Engineering and Design
RISK-BASED ANALYSIS FOR FLOOD DAMAGE REDUCTION STUDIES
1. Purpose. This manual describes and provides procedures for risk and uncertainty for Corps of
Engineers flood damage reduction studies.
2. Applicability. The guidance presented and procedures described in this manual apply to all
HQUSACE elements, major subordinate commands, districts, laboratories, and separate field operating
activities having civil works responsibilities.
3. General. The procedures described herein lead to estimation of expected benefits of proposed
flood damage reduction plans using risk and uncertainty analysis. Quantitative and qualitative methods
of representing the likelihood and consequences of exceedance of the capacity of selected measures are
also included. The procedures are generally an extension and expansion of the traditional plan
formulation and evaluation regulations described in other Corps of Engineers guidance materials, in
particular ER 1105-2-101 and ER 1105-2-100, and thus do not supersede guidance presented therein.
FOR THE COMMANDER:
ROBERT H. GRIFFIN
Colonel, Corps of Engineers
Chief of Staff
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