俄罗斯进攻性战役评估,2022年5月26日

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1 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
Karolina Hird, Mason Clark, and George Barros
May 26, 6:30pm ET
Russian forces have made steady, incremental gains in heavy fighting in eastern Ukraine
in the past several days, though Ukrainian defenses remain effective overall. Deputy
Ukrainian Defense Minister Hanna Malyar stated that the fighting is currently at its "maximum
intensity” compared to previous Russian assaults and will likely continue to escalate.
1
Spokesperson for
the Ukrainian Defense Ministry Oleksandr Motuzyanyk characterized Russian gains as “temporary
success” and stated that Ukrainian forces are using a maneuver defense to put pressure on Russian
advances in key areas.
2
Russian forces have now taken control of over 95% of Luhansk Oblast and will
likely continue efforts to complete the capture of Severodonetsk in the coming days.
3
Russian forces
have made several gains in the past week, but their offensive operations remain slow. Russian forces
are heavily degraded and will struggle to replace further losses.
Key Takeaways
Russian forces unsuccessfully attempted to advance southeast of Izyum near the
Kharkiv-Donetsk Oblast border.
Russian forces continued steady advances around Severodonetsk and likely seek
to completely encircle the Severodonetsk-Lysychansk area in the coming days.
Russian forces continued to make persistent advances south and west of Popasna
toward Bakhmut, but the Russian pace of advance will likely slow as they approach
the town itself.
Russian forces in occupied areas of the Southern Axis are reportedly preparing a
“third line of defense” to consolidate long-term control over the region and in
preparation to repel likely future Ukrainian counteroffensives.
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