俄罗斯进攻性战役评估,2022年4月13日

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1 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, April 13
Mason Clark, Kateryna Stepanenko, and Karolina Hird
April 13, 4:30pm ET
Russian claims of a mass Ukrainian surrender in Mariupol are likely false, but Russian
forces forced Ukrainian troops to abandon the Ilyich metal plant in northern Mariupol
on April 13, further constricting the two remaining pockets of Ukrainian defenders.
Russian forces will likely capture Mariupol in the coming week. Russian forces continued to conduct
small-scale limited offensive operations on both the Izyum and Severodonetsk axes and have not yet
begun a broader offensive campaign.
Key Takeaways
Russian forces continued to take ground in Mariupol, but Russian claims of a mass
Ukrainian surrender are likely false.
Russian forces continued unsuccessful local attacks in eastern Ukraine amid
continuing preparations for a likely wider offensive.
Russian forces continued to regroup in Kharkiv Oblast for offensive operations
and conducted only minor attacks south of Izyum.
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