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俄罗斯进攻性战役评估，2022年4月12日

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时间：2023-06-20

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1 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
Frederick W. Kagan, Kateryna Stepanenko, Karolina Hird, and George Barros
April 12, 5:30pm ET
Russia continued offensive operations in eastern Ukraine on a limited basis as it worked
to reconstitute forces withdrawn from the Battle of Kyiv and to establish necessary
logistical bases for increased offensive operations in the Donbas area. Russian forces
withdrawn from the Kyiv region have not yet been reintroduced into Ukraine to fight. The Russian
military has continued to conduct small-scale limited offensive operations on the Izyum and
Severodonetsk axes and has not yet gone over to a better-resourced or broader offensive campaign. The
Battle of Mariupol continues even as Ukrainian officials accuse Russia of using chemical weapons on
Mariupol’s defenders.
Key Takeaways
• The Russian military continues offensive operations in Donbas and is not in a pure
reconstitution phase. It has not undertaken an across-the-board operational pause
while waiting for reinforcements to arrive. In part, as a result, it has made limited
gains while continuing to sustain significant losses.
• Mariupol has not yet fallen.
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