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俄罗斯进攻性战役评估，2022年7月26日

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时间：2023-06-20

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1 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
Karolina Hird, Kateryna Stepanenko, Katherine Lawlor, Layne Philipson, and
Frederick W. Kagan
July 26, 7:15 pm ET
Click here to see ISW's interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is
updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.
Russian-backed proxy leadership continues to enunciate deadlines for the capture of
additional Ukrainian territory, likely to support ongoing preparations for referenda on
the annexation of these territories to the Russian Federation. Donetsk People’s Republic
(DNR) Deputy Minister of Information Daniil Bezsonov stated on July 25 that the DNR expects to
capture the entirety of Donetsk Oblast by the end of August.
i
Various Russian and Western sources have
previously reported that Russia intends to hold referenda in occupied areas by the first half of
September, likely sometime around September 11, which is the unified voting day in the Russian
Federation.
ii
Proxy leadership and Russian-backed occupation authorities are likely pushing for
deadlines for military objectives to support condition setting for expedited annexation objectives,
although Russian forces remain unlikely to occupy significant additional territory in Ukraine before the
early autumn annexation timeline.
Key Takeaways
• Russian proxy and occupation leadership is enunciating expedited deadlines for
the capture of Ukrainian territory to align with the Kremlin’s efforts to prepare for
the annexation of occupied territories into the Russian Federation.
• Russian forces gained marginal ground northeast of Bakhmut and are continuing
to fight east and south of Bakhmut.
• Russian forces conducted a limited attack northwest of Izyum, likely to secure
Russian rear areas on the Izyum-Slovyansk line.
• Russian forces conducted limited attacks southwest of Donetsk City near the
Zaporizhia Oblast border.
• Russian forces focused on defending occupied lines and conducted a limited
ground assault in northwestern Kherson Oblast.
• Ukrainian forces continued to strike Russian logistics nodes in Kherson Oblast.
• The Kremlin is continuing to constitute regional volunteer battalions for
deployment into Ukraine.
• Ukrainian intelligence leaks continue to reveal the Kremlin’s annexation agendas
for occupied Ukraine by way of falsified referenda.
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