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俄罗斯进攻性战役评估，2022年7月7日

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时间：2023-06-20

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1 Institute for the Study of War & AEI’s Critical Threats Project 2022
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment
Karolina Hird, Kateryna Stepanenko, Grace Mappes, and Frederick W. Kagan
July 7, 5:45 pm ET
Click here to see ISW's interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is
updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.
Russian Defense Ministry Spokesperson Igor Konashenkov announced on July 7 that
Russian forces in Ukraine are pausing to rest and regain their combat capabilities,
confirming ISW’s assessment that Russian forces have initiated an operational pause.
1
Konashenkov did not specify the intended length of Russian forces’ operational pause. As ISW
previously assessed, Russian forces have not ceased active hostilities during this operational pause and
are unlikely to do so.
2
Russian forces still conducted limited ground offensives and air, artillery, and
missile strikes across all axes on July 7.
3
Russian forces will likely continue to confine themselves to
small-scale offensive actions as they rebuild forces and set conditions for a more significant offensive
in the coming weeks or months.
Key Takeaways
• The Russian Ministry of Defense announced that Russian forces are conducting an
operational pause to rest and reconstitute.
• Russian forces continued efforts to advance toward Slovyansk from the southeast
of Izyum and may be setting conditions to advance from the southeast of
Barvinkove—either toward Slovyansk or toward Kramatorsk.
• Russian forces made marginal gains to the southeast of Siversk and continued
offensive operations west of the Lysychansk area.
• Russian forces continued offensive operations to the south and east of Bakhmut.
• Russian forces conducted a limited and unsuccessful attack north of Kharkiv City.
• Ukrainian partisans are likely continuing to target Russian-controlled railways
around Melitopol.
• Russian oblasts are continuing to create their own ad hoc volunteer units to
compensate for personnel losses in Ukraine.
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