1 Instute for the Study of War and AEI’s Crical Threats Project 2023
Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment, June 14, 2023
Riley Bailey, Karolina Hird, Nicole Wolkov, and Mason Clark
June 14, 2023, 7pm ET
Click here to see ISW’s interactive map of the Russian invasion of Ukraine. This map is
updated daily alongside the static maps present in this report.
Click here to access ISW’s archive of interactive time-lapse maps of the Russian
invasion of Ukraine. These maps complement the static control-of-terrain map that
ISW produces daily by showing a dynamic frontline. ISW will update this time-lapse
map archive monthly.
Note: The data cutoff for this product was 3pm ET on June 14. ISW will cover
subsequent reports in the June 15 Russian Offensive Campaign Assessment.
Ukrainian forces continued counteroffensive operations in at least three directions and
made gains on June 14. Ukrainian Deputy Defense Minister Hanna Malyar stated on June 14 that
Ukrainian troops have advanced between 200 to 500 meters in unspecified sectors of the Bakhmut
front and 300 to 350 meters in unspecified parts of the Zaporizhia direction.[1] Russian milbloggers
reported that Ukrainian forces are continuing counterattacks on the northwestern, northeastern, and
southwestern outskirts of Bakhmut.[2] Ukrainian and Russian sources additionally reported that
fighting continued in western Donetsk Oblast, particularly around Makarivka (directly south of
Velyka Novosilka), and in western Zaporizhia Oblast south of Orikhiv.[3] Russian milbloggers
speculated that heavy rain and poor weather in southern Ukraine may have decreased the tempo of
Ukrainian attacks, but Malyar emphasized that weather conditions do not always have an impact of
Ukrainian offensive actions.[4] Ukrainian Tavrisk Group of Forces Spokesperson Valery Shershen
noted that Ukrainian forces in the Tavrisk (Zaporizhia) direction are prioritizing strikes on Russian
electronic warfare (EW) systems, and ISW has previously assessed that Russian EW capabilities have
been critical in complicating Ukrainian attacks on this sector of the front.[5] US Deputy Pentagon
Press Secretary Sabrina Singh affirmed the United States’ commitment to partially replacing
Ukrainian losses of the US-provided equipment used in counteroffensive operations but noted that
there may not be a one-for-one replacement ratio.[6]
Russian sources claimed that Ukrainian forces struck a division of the 20th Combined
Arms Army (Western Military District) near Kreminna, Luhansk Oblast while they
were waiting for the commander of the 20th CAA to give a speech, prompting typical
discontent among milbloggers about Russian commanders. ISW has observed both of the
20th CAA’s divisions, the 144th and 3rd Motorized Rifle Divisions, operating in the Kreminna area for
the past several months and could not confirm which division was struck by the Ukrainian
forces.[7] Russian sources claimed that the division waited two hours in one location while waiting for
20th Combined Arms Army Commander Major General Sukhrab Akhmedov to arrive and deliver a
speech before the division conducted offensive operations.[8]One milblogger suggested that the
reported Ukrainian HIMARS strike killed around 100 Russian personnel and wounded another 100,
although ISW has not observed any visual confirmation of the strike or its aftermath.[9]
