BRIEFING
What Think Tanks are Thinking
14 February 2022
EPRS | European Parliamentary Research Service
Author: Marcin Grajewski
Strategy and Innovation Unit
PE 698.927
The Ukrainian crisis:
Military threats and diplomacy
Russia continues to strengthen its military presence around the Ukrainian border, despite intensive
diplomatic activity to ward off a feared armed conflict between the countries. Russia has amassed
more than 100 000 troops, as well as ships, aircraft, rocket launchers and other heavy weaponry near
Ukraine, prompting some politicians and analysts to say that war may be imminent. Others believe
Russian President Vladimir Putin is still playing a diplomatic game, aimed, among other goals, at
bringing Ukraine into Russia’s sphere of influence. The United States, the European Union and other
countries have threatened severe sanctions against Russia should it start new hostilities, following
its annexation of Crimea in 2014 and the destabilisation of some eastern Ukrainian provinces.
This note gathers links to recent publications and commentaries from many international think
tanks on the crisis and its implications for neighbouring countries, the European Union and global
geopolitics. More reports on the issue can be found in a previous item
from the ‘What think tanks
are thinking’ series.
The crisis of European security: What Europeans think about the war in Ukraine
European Council on Foreign Relations, February 2022
Friendly arguments: Biden’s and Zelensky’s disagreement on the threat from Russia
European Council on Foreign Relations, February 2022
Why the war in Ukraine could reshape the European nuclear order
European Council on Foreign Relations, February 2022
How the Russia-Ukraine crisis could change Sweden’s security policy
European Council on Foreign Relations, February 2022
Putin knows exactly what he wants in eastern Europe, unlike the West
European Council on Foreign Relations, February 2022
Russia’s choices and the prospect of war in Ukraine
International Institute for Strategic Studies, February 2022
Russia’s ‘military-technical solution’ for Ukraine
International Institute for Strategic Studies, February 2022
Belarus seeks to amend its constitution to host Russian nuclear weapons
International Institute for Strategic Studies, February 2022
