Research Report
研究报告
January 25.2022
2022 年 1 月 25 日
Confidential
机密
Distribution：WHCS，ANSA，Dept. of State，CIA，NSA，DNC
分发机构：白宫幕僚长、总统国家安全事务助理、国务院、中央情报局、国家安全局、民
主党全国委员会
Executive Summary
执行概要
Weakening Germany，strengthening the U.S.
削弱德国，强化美国
The present state of the U.S. economy does not suggest that it can function without
financial and material support from external sources. The quantitative easing policy, which
the Fed has resorted to regularly in recent years, as well as the uncontrolled issue of cash
during the 2020 and 2021 Covid lockdowns, have led to a sharp increase in the external
debt and an increase in the dollar supply.
目前，从美国的经济状况来看，没有外部的资金和物资的支持，美国的经济已无法正常运
转。近年来，美联储经常采取的量化宽松政策，以及 2020-2021 年 COVID-19 期间不受控
制的现金发行问题，市场上美元数量增加，导致外部国债金额急剧增加。
The continuing deterioration of the economic situation is highly likely to lead to a loss in the
position of the Democratic Party in Congress and the Senate in the forthcoming elections to
be held in November 2022. The impeachment of the President cannot be ruled out under
these circumstances, which must be avoided at all costs.
经济状况的持续恶化，很有可能导致民主党在 2022 年 11 月举行的国会和参议院中期选举
中失利。在这种情况下，不能排除弹劾总统的可能性，必须不惜一切代价避免被弹劾。
There is an urgent need for resources to flow into the national economy, especially the
banking system. Only European countries bound by EU and NATO commitments will be
able to provide them without significant military and political costs for us.
因此，迫切需要资源的流入，特别是金融系统。只有受到北约和欧盟的约束，欧洲国家才
能提供这些资源，而不是需要我们在军事和政治中付出重大代价。
The major obstacle to it is growing independence of Germany. Although it still is a country
with limited sovereignty, for decades it has been consistently moving toward lifting these
limitations and becoming a fully independent state. This movement is slow and cautious,
